Thursday, May 10, 2018

2018 NBA Playoff third-round predictions


By Rick Morris


NOTE: 8-4 record thus far


CONFERENCE FINALS

Cleveland over Boston in 5

Golden State over Houston in 7


NBA FINALS

Golden State over Cleveland in 6

2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs third-round predictions


By Rick Morris


NOTE: Picks thus far are 7-5.


CONFERENCE FINALS

Tampa Bay over Washington in 6

Winnipeg over Vegas in 6


STANLEY CUP FINAL

Tampa Bay over Winnipeg in 7

Sunday, April 29, 2018

FDH 2018 NFL UQB and additional team rankings


By Rick Morris


As noted in PRO FOOTBALL DRAFTOLOGY 2018, FDH is bringing its Ultimate Quantitative Baseline (UQB) rankings from fantasy over to a team aspect for the first time.  Our NFL rankings for 2018 going into the draft included an equal blend of the following:


^ FDH end-of-season-power rankings

^ a formula based half on number of victories and half strength of schedule as assessed by FDH’s power rankings

^ offensive yards gained

^ defensive yards allowed

^ DVOA

^ offensive DVOA

^ defensive DVOA

^ special teams DVOA


1        Minnesota

2        New Orleans

3T      Los Angeles Rams

3T      Philadelphia

3T      Pittsburgh

6T      Carolina

6T      New England

8        Jacksonville

9        Atlanta

10      Dallas

11      Seattle

12      Baltimore

13      Kansas City

14      Los Angeles Chargers

15      Detroit

16      Washington

17      Tennessee

18      San Francisco

19      Arizona

20      Green Bay

21      Buffalo

22      Miami

23      Oakland

24T    Chicago

24T    Tampa Bay

26      Denver

27      New York Jets

28      Cincinnati

29      Houston

30      Cleveland

31      Indianapolis

32      New York Giants


Here’s that same UQB with a ranking of every team’s offseason heading into the draft and every team’s draft when considering needs, value and rounds in which key picks were utilized (with both concepts broken out separately here).


1        Minnesota

2        New Orleans

3        Los Angeles Rams

4        Pittsburgh

5        Philadelphia

6        Carolina

7        New England

8        Dallas

9        Jacksonville

10      Baltimore

11      Atlanta

12      Seattle

13      Los Angeles Chargers

14      Tennessee

15      Kansas City

16      Detroit

17      Green Bay

18      Washington

19      San Francisco

20      Buffalo

21      Tampa Bay

22      Chicago

23      Denver

24      Arizona

25      New York Jets

26      Miami

27      Oakland

28      Cincinnati

29      Houston

30      Indianapolis

31      Cleveland

32      New York Giants


Here’s our FDH power rankings for the end of the 2018 NFL season.


1        Philadelphia

2        New England

3        New Orleans

4        Minnesota

5        Atlanta

6        Los Angeles Rams

7        Carolina

8        Jacksonville

9        Pittsburgh

10      Tennessee

11      Seattle

12      Los Angeles Chargers

13      Kansas City

14      Buffalo

15      Baltimore

16      San Francisco

17      Detroit

18      Dallas

19      Arizona

20      Washington

21      Cincinnati

22      Miami

23      Oakland

24      Chicago

25      New York Jets

26      Green Bay

27      Tampa Bay

28      Denver

29      Houston

30      Indianapolis

31      New York Giants

32      Cleveland

FDH 2018 NFL Draft team rankings


By Rick Morris
 

Here’s our rankings based on a metric of 50% value based on FDH Senior Editor Jason Jones’ Top 200 overall as listed in PRO FOOTBALL DRAFTOLOGY 2018, 25% success at attempting to fill needs on a sliding scale of the top four team needs as assessed by FDH and 25% value on a sliding scale in the first four rounds.
 

1        Indianapolis 1852

2        Dallas 1597

3        Cleveland    1592

4        Tampa Bay  1546

5        Baltimore    1533

6        Cincinnati   1512

7        New York Giants   1465

8        Pittsburgh    1445

9        Denver        1350

10      Washington 1291

11      New England         1187

12      Seattle         1176

13      Tennessee    1165

14      Chicago       1141

15      Oakland       1139

16      Minnesota   1106

17      Jacksonville 1089

18      Buffalo        1072

19      Miami         1063

20      Green Bay   1061

21      Carolina       1044

22      Los Angeles Chargers      949

23      Houston      904

24      San Francisco        715

25      New York Jets       689

26      Philadelphia 689

27      Atlanta        687

28      Kansas City 664

29      Arizona       659

30      New Orleans          596

31      Detroit         568

32      Los Angeles Rams 281
 

Here’s our rankings based purely on a points system based on Jason’s Top 200 overall.
 

1        Denver        975

2        Cleveland    942

3        Cincinnati   937

4        Dallas 922

5        New York Giants   915

6        Baltimore    883

7        Indianapolis 862

8        Oakland       789

9        New England         737

10      Pittsburgh    720

11      Washington 716

12      Tennessee    715

13      Seattle         701

14      Tampa Bay  696

15      Jacksonville 664

16      Miami         663

17      Chicago       641

18      Buffalo        597

19      Green Bay   586

20      Houston      529

21      Carolina       519

22      Los Angeles Chargers      499

23      Minnesota   481

24      Philadelphia 439

25      New York Jets       414

26      Atlanta        412

27      San Francisco        365

28      New Orleans          346

29      Detroit         343

30      Arizona       334

31      Kansas City 314

32      Los Angeles Rams 281
 

Here’s our rankings of the best offseasons in the NFL by teams going into the draft.
 

1        Los Angeles Rams

2        Minnesota

3        New Orleans

4        New York Jets

5        Chicago

6        Green Bay

7        Philadelphia

8        Carolina

9        New York Giants

10      Denver

11      Dallas

12      Tennessee

13      Houston

14      Tampa Bay

15      Indianapolis

16      San Francisco

17      Cleveland

18      Detroit

19      Buffalo

20      Jacksonville

21      New England

22      Baltimore

23      Pittsburgh

24      Cincinnati

25      Kansas City

26      Arizona

27      Los Angeles Chargers

28      Washington

29      Miami

30      Atlanta

31      Oakland

32      Seattle
 

Here’s our rankings of the best offseasons going into the draft AND the best overall drafts (based on the first metric listed above), with each weighted at 50%.
 

1        Dallas

2T      Indianapolis

2T      New York Giants

4T      Minnesota

4T      Tampa Bay

6T      Chicago

6T      Denver

8        Cleveland

9        Tennessee

10      Green Bay

11      Baltimore

12      Carolina

13      New York Jets

14      Cincinnati

15      Pittsburgh

16      New England

17      Los Angeles Rams

18      New Orleans

19      Philadelphia

20      Houston

21T    Buffalo

21T    Jacksonville

23      Washington

24      San Francisco

25      Seattle

26      Oakland

27      Miami

28T    Detroit

28T    Los Angeles Chargers

30      Kansas City

31      Arizona

32      Atlanta